India failed to do even what a small country like Nicaragua did in
the Paris Climate Conference by raising its flag questioning the
autocratic change introduced in the final draft at the last moment (from
‘shall’ to ‘should’) while adopting the 12 page long Paris Agreement
dated 12th December, 2015. The Agreement being a legal text required
application of basic legal knowledge by India. In law schools across the
globe students are taught that “shall” is “mandatory”. The drafters of
legal documents are trained into the use of “shall” as it conveys “a
duty to” be performed. It conveys obligation.
Had “shall” been not important 76 pages
of Words and Phrases, a multi volume work of legal definitions would not
have been devoted to case laws around it. The word “should” does not
express a legal obligation, the word “shall” expresses a legal
requirement.
Initially, Article 4.4 of the Draft Agreement read: “Developed
country Parties shall continue taking the lead by undertaking
economy-wide absolute emission reduction targets. Developing country
Parties should continue enhancing their mitigation efforts…” This
formulation aptly captured the historic responsibilities of rich
countries and differentiated responsibilities of poorer countries. But
disregarding the voice of a Central American country like Nicaragua
which is a member of Group of 77, succumbing to the USA’s demand shall
was substituted with should. India’s decision to maintain a deafening
silence when the voice of a fellow member from G77 was disregarded is
contrary to its stature.
India failed to comprehend that as a State it has a fundamental
responsibility to preserve resources like the land, water, and air,
which belongs to the future generations. Its responsibility “predates
statutory law”.
What Indian environment minister, Prakash Javadekar did not disclose
to the Parliament has already been admitted by Nozipho Joyce
Mxakato-Diseko, chairperson of the Group of 134 developing countries
(G77 and China Group). India is a member of this Group. Diseko has
revealed that Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) for
mitigating climate change is “a perversion of the principle of common
but differentiated responsibilities” because it undermines the “legal
obligation in accordance with historical responsibilities for finance”
accepted under the bullying influence of USA and its allies.
It is quite outrageous that INDCs are not legally enforceable. The
paragraph 52 of the Decision of CoP 21 makes a categorical declaration
that Article 8 of the Paris Agreement which deals with the issue of
addressing loss and damage associated with the adverse effects of
climate change “does not involve or provide a basis for any liability or
compensation.”
Although such announcement sets a regressive precedent in
international negotiations, given the fact Paris Agreement is not
legally binding by implication, this attempt to escape liability for
loss and damage appears unsuccessful. The 12 page long Paris Agreement
dated 12th December, 2015 adopted by the countries that are Parties to
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) which was
adopted on 9th May, 1992, is an articulation of how
‘climate-inequality’ shapes the text of an international treaty
supposedly aimed at climate justice and for the protection of Mother
Earth.
It may be recalled that the false solution of carbon trade and off
setting was introduced in the Kyoto Protocol at the behest of USA which
had made it a pre-condition to sign the Protocol. Notably, after
diluting the Protocol USA unsigned the Protocol. Unmindful of the fraud
and corruption ridden carbon trade projects, instead of discarding this
fake remedy the Paris Agreement makes way for global carbon market
through Article 6 of the Agreement. It makes space for “voluntary
contribution” among countries in the implementation of their emission
reduction targets and “to allow for higher ambition in their mitigation
and adaptation actions”.
It creates a new class of carbon assets namely, “internationally
transferred mitigation outcomes” (ITMOs) for trading and “support for
results- based payments to implement policy approaches”. This new
mechanism of UNFCCC has been incarnated as Sustainable Development
Mechanism (SDM) as main mitigation tool in place of pre-existing Clean
Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation post-2020.
Industrial War against Climate System
What is charitably referred to as “dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system” in the text of the UNFCCC is in
reality an act of industrial warfare against climate and its allied
ecosystem whose impact has become glaring. It is quite surprising that
green house gas emissions from the war industry which is reaping
unprecedented profits amidst conflicts around natural resources has not
been included as one of the key sources of climate crisis.
It is apparent that world governments have adopted Ostrich policy
with regard to climate crisis under the influence of undemocratic
economic organizations. Richer countries became prosperous and dominant
due to carbon emission since 1750. Between 1850 and 2011, USA, European
Union, Russian Federation, Japan and others contributed over 2/3rd of
total global emissions. Notably, developed countries have been
outsourcing their carbon-intensive industries to developing countries
like India.
Admittedly, the estimated aggregate greenhouse gas emission levels in
2025 and 2030 resulting from INDCs do not fall within least –cost 2
degree C but rather lead to a projected level of 55 gigatons in 2030.
The Decision underlines that in order to hold the increase in global
average temperature to below 2 degree C above pre-industrial levels
there is a need for reduction of emissions to 40 gigatons.
It is quite bizarre that while almost all the countries have stated
their commitments to reduce emissions from 1990 levels, USA has decided
to count its reduction in emission using 2005 as the base year. Thus,
its commitment of reduction is only 14%insteadof28%ashasbeen claimed
quite deceptively.
Where does India stand?
It has been estimated that India’s current per capita income is close
US’s per capita income in the 1890s. Like most developed countries
where coal remains unavoidable, India continues to argue that it will
continue to use coal as its primary source in its energy mix. Meanwhile,
in a remarkable move, the share of renewables in India has increased
over 6 times between 2002 and 2015. India has also announced that it
will add 175 GW of renewable energy capacity (almost equal to the total
installed power generation of Germany) by 2022. This will lead to
avoidance of burning over 300 million tonnes of coal.
Paris Agreement has a stark lesson for Indian Government and its INDC
which promoted “Nuclear Power as a safe, environmentally benign and
economically viable source to meet the increasing electricity needs of
the country.” The word “nuclear” does not appear in the Agreement
despite efforts by countries like India. It is high time India followed
the path of those who have no nuclear power reactors and remain opposed
to nuclear power.
India cannot afford to be complacent citing emissions by top
polluters given the fact emissions of top 10 % of urban Indians is about
27 times the emissions of the bottom 10 % of rural India that the
carbon footprint of 1 % of the India’s wealthy class is being veiled by
823 million poor class of the country. Saving climate from poisonous
market interference
Paris Agreement panders to the whims and fancies of commercial czars
who are obstinately commodifying and monetizing nature and interfering
with climate and allied ecosystems. The natural resource dependent
communities are facing unprecedented deprivation. This has created an
episteme that blindly bulldozes technical and market solutions as “real”
solutions. Meanwhile, World Bank Group feigned surprise on 17th
December “to see the extent and detail on carbon markets” included in
the Paris Agreement that paves the way for “Carbon Markets 2.0”.
A new, non-market, climate finance mechanism is needed to support the
formalization and expansion of mitigation and technology transfer as a
genuine solution to combat the propensity of promoting free trade in
carbon at the cost of climate system. Climate talks remain relevant
because fate of the communities and global order is linked to the
decision by the richest countries to undergo mandatory fossil fuel
de-addiction. But the Agreement fails to make top polluters liable for
“dangerous anthropogenic interference” and for endangering human
ecosystem which is the substratum for the existence of living beings.
In effect, despite the brave effort of a G77 country, Paris
conference failed to save climate and intra-generational and
inter-generational equity from the banks and markets that threaten our
planet by integrating carbon pricing policies in all sectors of economy.
It failed to make ratification of Doha amendment 2012 to Kyoto
Protocol, 1997 developed under the UNFCCC’s charter covering 2012-2020
time span a priority.
India should have taken ethical leadership by declaring carbon
trading as a fake
solution and by choosing not “to pursue the reckless
and environmentally harmful path to development” that the developed
countries have taken so far. It should have sought early ratification of
the Doha Amendment to the Protocol which is the international law till
2020. But this law has not entered into force as yet. This exposes the
hollowness of the claims about leading “nearly 200 nations to the most ambitious agreement in
history to fight climate change” made by President Barack Obama in his
last State of the Union address in front of the US Congress. The failure
to apply “public trust doctrine” for safeguarding climate system is
quite evident.
Ahead of the next conference which is planned in November 2016 in
Marrakech, Morocco, India should take recourse to “long memories” to
mobilize G-77 countries to put limits on ungovernable national and
transnational business enterprises by adopting principles that account
for the imminent danger to the very substratum of human existence.
By Dr Gopal Krishna*
*Public policy analyst; Director, ToxicsWatch Alliance (TWA). Source: PUCL Bulletin
The author has been tracking the climate issue for more than a decade
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